All Star Market Timing

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX rallied in an EW 5-wave diagonal pattern from the 11/21 low and made a new ATH at 6965.2 on Wednesday – we have turned cautious for a possible quick correction. There is also a planetary stellium forming that correlates with a change in trend. Our plan here is to to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into Friday will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could still spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first trading week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 –XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Monday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/7 to include: 30% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window into the weekend is on 1/9-1/10.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX made a low on Friday, 1/2 and the stock market is rallying hard into the first trading week of the New Year. The DJIA made an all-time high on Monday and the SPX is close to matching that. The big volatility that we saw for the SPX has been a strong trend up so far, so our caution is letting up to the point that we plan to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. How the SPX and gold/silver trade into January 9 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could still spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first trading week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 –XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Monday’s close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/5 to include: 50% cash, 30% SLV, 20% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 25% DIA, 25% XOM/SLB.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for the coming week is the 1/5-1/6, the Full Moon Timing Window.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX declined on Friday, the first trading day of 2026, but the futures are up overnight Sunday and the SPX could give us a gap-up open on Monday. The SPX gave us four down trading days in a row and we could see a rally on Monday as the big institutions return to Wall Street. We are still cautious here for the stock market and we expect some big volatility to hit the market by the close of Monday or Tuesday. There is a huge cluster of astro-finance activity this week and that promises some big volatility – we plan to mostly watch on Monday and watch the relative strength of the market sectors. The news from Venezuela will have us watching the oil sector for some long setups. We are looking to raise cash on Monday, 1/5 on the expected SPX rally. How the SPX and gold/silver trades into January 5 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could spike to give the SPX a slap in the face on the first week of the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important peak in the SPX and in Q1 2026 – gold/silver may have already made an important peak on 12/28, but XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 25% cash, 0% QQQ, 15% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/2 to include: 50% cash, 0% SLV, 0% SILJ, 0% Barrick, and 50% XOM/SLB.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for the coming week is the 1/5-1/6, the Full Moon Timing Window.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: CAUTION! The SPX made a new ATH at 6945.77 on 12/26 and then has given us an EW 5-waves down on the hourly into Wednesday. We have turned short-term BEARISH on the SPX. The Option Premium Ratio has given us a back-to-back reading of 0.77 on 12/26 that is also a SELL SIGNAL. The extremely low put/call ratio on SILJ (~9740 puts/1,270,000 calls) seen on 12/26 was a warning to the silver/gold market that sold off hard on Sunday night and resumed its selloff on Wednesday. We are looking to raise cash on Friday, 1/2 and Monday, 1/5. How the SPX and gold/silver trades into January 5 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX could be tracing out an EW 1-2, i-ii to the upside and could spike to give the SPX a slap in the face going into the New Year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important peak in the SPX and in Q1 2026 – gold/silver may have already made an important peak on 12/28. Our current investment positions were updated on the 12/31 close: 50% cash, 0% QQQ, 15% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 12/30 to include: 100% cash, 0% SLV, 0% SILJ, and 0% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn windows for this week are 12/29-12/30 and 1/2-1/5, the Full Moon Timing Window.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX gave us a 3-wave correction into Monday and may have started another leg into the 1/5-1/6 turn window which should give us a new ATH. We saw very high “short volume” on SLV and AGQ for Friday and Monday and believe that a further short squeeze in silver could give us a test of the overnight Sunday high at $82.67. How the SPX and gold/silver trades into January 5 will dominate our thinking into Q1 2026. The VIX is giving us a possible EW 1-2, i-ii count on the daily chart and could spike to give the SPX a slap in the face going into the New year. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important peak in the SPX and gold/silver sometime in Q1 2026. Our current investment positions were updated on the 12/26 close: 30% cash, 0% QQQ, 15% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 12/29 to include: 50% cash, 50% SLV, 0% SILJ, and 0% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn windows for this week are 12/29-12/30 and 1/2-1/5, the Full Moon Timing Window.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX finally made a new ATH above 6920 early Wednesday and the CBOE put/call ratio remains elevated in holiday trading. The VIX looks 5-waves down on the daily chart and ready for a bounce – the SPX could see a selloff into yearend, so we are cautious here. The GDP report for Q3 came it at 4.3% early Tuesday and that supported the market. The Fed announcement of both a $40B/month QE to dampen volatility in the repo market as well as a 25-bps rate cut in the Fed rate is “bullish juice” for the SPX going into 2026. However, stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we will continue to favor commodity stocks and DJIA stocks and look for money flow from the MAG-7 into Russell 2000 stocks. Silver and gold made new ATHs overnight at $72.75 and $4565, respectfully. Our current investment positions were last updated on the 11/28 close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 12/15 to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 12/22-12/23.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX continued to decline on Wednesday, may have finished an EW a-b-c correction on the hourly chart, and triggered a SPY “reversion to mean” system that we follow to the BUY side. We were early on our bullish call on Tuesday night but are now looking for the SPX to rally into the 12/19-12/22 New Moon Timing Window and make a new ATH above 6920. The CPI inflation report early Thursday should be a market catalyst. The Fed announcement of both a $40B/month QE to dampen volatility in the repo market as well as a 25-bps rate cut in the Fed rate is “bullish juice” for the SPX going into 2026. However, stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we will continue to favor commodity stocks and DJIA stocks. The Option Premium Ratio rose from 0.50 to 0.80 on Wednesday’s close and this looks like the setup for another bullish “island reversal” pattern, which is short-term bullish for the SPX. Silver made a new ATH at $67.16 near Wednesday’s close, just a pullback into the 12/19-12/22 New Moon Timing Window would be bullish. The Mars ingress early Monday only gave us a brief consolidation in the PM sector, and the January fractal patterns for the SPX and silver call for more rally into yearend, Our current investment positions were last updated on the 11/28 close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 12/15 to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn windows for this week are 12/15-12/16 and the 12/19-12/22 New Moon Timing Window.