All Star Market Timing

Stock market timing with Elliott/Taucher/Gann/Cadbury methods and astro-finance outlook on the financial markets and is dedicated to the All Stars of Market Timing – R. N. Elliott, W. D. Gann, Frank Taucher and Chris Cadbury and many others that have influenced my market methodology.

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  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – February 22, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: Our belief is that the stock market indices are making a rounded-top top in Q1 of 2026 and we are turning defensive this week by raising more cash. Going into our 2/27-3/2 turn window, it is still possible for a new divergent ATH from the DJIA or IWM,  but we are looking for a move down to SPX 6600 or so by early March. After getting a big win by being heavy XOM/CVX/SLB in Jan/Feb we are raising more cash and waiting to see how the SPX trades into early March. Geo-political fears of another US strike on Iran over the “nuclear deal” will keep the market on edge this week. In the bigger picture, the SPX may still be making a “rounding top” here with the late-cycle sector XLF topping on I/6/26 and the late-cycle sector XLE rotating into leadership on 2/4/26. Silver made a lower low early 2/17 at $71.82 and then reversed up impulsively – this could be the start of a B-Wave test of the 1/29 ATH at $121. The rotation of the XLE into a market leadership position favored our oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB in February, but we are turning cautious here and expect a near-term correction. Sector selection will be key in 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 and that could happen close to the 2/28-3/02 planetary stellium. The XLE is in a seasonally strong period(Jan-Apr) and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 2/20 close: 30% cash, 0% SLV, 0% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 2/20 to include: 70% cash, 0% SLV, 10% CDE, 0% Barrick, 0% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/28-3/02, the planetary stellium.

  • The Daily JDV Market Timer – February 19, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX sold off into early Tuesday’s New Moon/solar eclipse and then rebounded. The NYSE composite made a new ATH on 2/12 and also corrected into the New Moon on Tuesday. We were looking at the 2/17-2/18 New Moon/ solar eclipse as being a potential turn for both the SPX and gold/silver and so far the reversal higher lacks conviction.  Geo-political fears of  another US strike on Iran gave the market a mild selloff on Thursday as crude oil spiked higher. However, in the bigger picture, the SPX may still be making a “rounding top” here with the XLF topping on I/6/26 and the XLE rotating into leadership on 2/4/26. Silver made  a lower low early Tuesday at $71.82 and then reversed up impulsively, however, the volume lacks conviction. The rotation of the XLE into a market leadership position favored our oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB last week but we are turning cautious and expect a near-term correction. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 and that could happen close to the 2/28 planetary stellium. The XLE is in a seasonally strong period(Jan-Apr) and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/30 close: 20% cash, 0% SLV, 10% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 2/6 to include: 50% cash, 0% SLV, 10% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/17-2/18, the New Moon/solar eclipse.

  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – February 17, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX sold off last week and that decline could continue into early Tuesday’s New Moon/solar eclipse. The NYSE composite made a new ATH on Thursday and is correcting into Tuesday. We are looking at the 2/17-2/18 New Moon/ solar eclipse as being a potential turn for both the SPX and gold/silver.  However, in the bigger picture, the SPX may still be making a “rounding top” here with the XLF topping on I/6/26 and the XLE rotating into leadership on 2/4/26. Silver is making a lower low overnight Monday at $72.50 and that could be exceeded into early Tuesday’s New Moon. The rotation of the XLE into a market leadership position favored our oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB last week but we are turning cautious. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 and that could happen close to the 2/17-2/18 turn window. The XLE is in a seasonally strong period(Jan-Apr) and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/30 close: 20% cash, 0% SLV, 10% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 2/6 to include: 50% cash, 0% SLV, 10% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/17-2/18, the New Moon/solar eclipse.

  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – February 8, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The E-mini made a correction low at 6751.5 after hours on 2/5 and the SPX has been rallying. The NYSE composite has made a new ATH on Monday. We are looking at the 2/17-2/18 New Moon/eclipse as being a potential major turn for both the SPX and gold/silver.  The SPX correction low last week came on the 49-day correction low from the key 11/21 low.  The SPX may still be making a “rounding top” here with the XLF topping on I/6/26 and the XLE rotating into leadership on 2/4/26. Silver and gold also made a low on 2/5 and may have kickstarted a B-Wave rally that could also last into the 2/17-2/18 turn window. The rotation of the XLE into a market leadership position favored our oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB last week. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 and that could happen close to the 2/17-2/18 turn window. The XLE is in a seasonally strong period(Jan-Apr) and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/30 close: 20% cash, 0% SLV, 10% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 2/6 to include: 50% cash, 0% SLV, 10% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/11.

  • The Daily JDV Market Timer – February 4, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX made a correction low at 6838.8 on Wednesday which is the exact 49-day trading day cycle from the key 11/21 low but we could still see lower lows into Thursday/Friday.  The SPX may be making a “rounding top” here with the XLF topping on I/6/26 and the XLE rotating into leadership on 2/4/26. When Uranus turned direct on late Tuesday, silver and gold peaked out shortly after and maybe about to make a B-Wave test of the 1/30 lows into Friday. Geo-political news from Iran and the Bomb Cyclone storm impacting the eastern US gave oil a boost this week which favored our oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/30 close: 20% cash, 0% SLV, 10% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/30 to include: 60% cash, 0% SLV, 0% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/2-2/3, the Full Moon Timing Window.

  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – February 2, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The SPX traded above 7000 on Wednesday and since then appears to be trading down into the 2/2-2/3 Full Moon Timing Window. The SLV gave us Key Reversal Day on Thursday and we should have exited all trading positions in SLV and silver stocks before the close. The strong open on Thursday for silver and silver stocks gave us a chance to get out early Thursday but our day was occupied with a noon doctor’s appointment, and our eye was off the ball unfortunately.  On Friday, silver crashed about 38% and was fiercely driven down by margin call selling. Holding a sizable cash position in this market is favored. Geo-political news from Iran and the Bomb Cyclone storm impacting the eastern US has us watching the energy sector for some long setups in our favored oil stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Gold broke down to $4500 early Monday  while silver broke to $71  before bouncing. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/30 close: 20% cash, 0% SLV, 10% DIA, 10% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/30 to include: 60% cash, 0% SLV, 0% SILJ, 0% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/CVX/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 2/2-2/3, the Full Moon Timing Window.

  • The Daily JDV Market Timer – January 26, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The stock indices were mixed on Monday – the IWM declined on Monday but the SPX rallied. Usually on a Fed week, the SPX makes a high on Monday and then declines into Wednesday.  Uncertainty over several issues from the pending Supreme Court Ruling on tariffs to the vagaries of Trump’s new foreign policy initiatives are plaguing US capital markets. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 last week cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. Still, holding a sizable cash position in this market is favored. Geo-political news from Iran and the big winter storm impacting the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Gold broke above $5100 on Monday before correcting while silver broke above $117 before correcting. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026 – we also like the MOO ETF(agricultural). Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/23 close: 15% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 5% MOO, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/25 to include: 15% cash, 15% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/26-1/27, the Tuesday Comex option expiration and Fed Wednesday.

  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – January 25, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The IWM printed a “Gravestone Doji” candlestick on Thursday and that is giving the US stock market another wave of corrective action as the market digest some Big Tech earnings from MSFT, META and AAPL on Wednesday/Thursday as well as geopolitical news from China. Uncertainty over several issues from the pending Supreme Court Ruling on tariffs to the vagaries of Trump’s new foreign policy initiatives are plaguing US capital markets. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 last week cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. Still, holding a sizable cash position in this market is favored. Geo-political news from Iran and the big winter storm impacting the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Gold tested $5000 on Friday and silver tested $100 . Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026. The XLE is coming into a seasonally strong period and is favored in our work for 2026. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/26-1/27, the Tuesday Comex option expiration and Fed Wednesday.

  • The Daily JDV Market Timer – January 21, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The aggressive Trump rhetoric against Greenland rattled the market and gave us a stiff correction by the end of Tuesday. The close of our TRIN-5 indicator above 6.0 on Friday cautions us against getting too bearish here on the SPX. In fact, our Option Premium Ratio gave us another “Island Reversal” pattern (0.72, 0.87, 0.73) on Tuesday’s close which is SHORT-TERM BULLISH for the SPX. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 on Friday’s close was bullish and a RECONFIRMING Buy Signal for the stock indices, so the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart, so we will be looking to add to the DIA on Wednesday. Geo-political news from Iran and a big winter storm building in the US has us watching the oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Both the SPX and gold/silver gave us just 3-wave corrections on the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 and so, we are bullish for the SPX and the PM trade going into late January. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX by May 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/20, the Tuesday after a monthly option expiration.

  • The Weekly JDV Market Timer – January 19, 2026

    Folks,

    Market Observations for the Week: The E-min sold off hard on Sunday night and continues to trade weakly on Monday night.  If we get a gap-down open on the SPX Tuesday morning, that will finish an EW a-b-c correction on the hourly chart. Our TRIN-5 indicator closed above 6.0 on Friday’s close again which is bullish and a RECONFIRMING Buy Signal for the stock indices, so the SPX will be making higher highs soon. Our plan here is to buy 3-wave corrections in the DIA on the hourly chart, so we will be looking to add to the DIA on Tuesday which is a turn window in our work. Geo-political news from Iran,  oil sector for some long setups in our favored energy stocks: XOM/CVX/COP/SLB. Both the SPX and gold/silver gave us just 3-wave corrections on the 55-day Fibonacci step out on 1/14 and so, we are bullish for the SPX and the PM trade going into January. Stock selection will be key going into 2026, and we do favor an important intermediate peak in the SPX in Q1 2026 – XOM/CVX/SLB is coming into a seasonally strong period. Our current investment positions were updated on the 1/9 close: 20% cash, 5% SLV, 15% DIA, 25% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 15% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 1/13 to include: 20% cash, 10% SLV, 20% SILJ, 10% Barrick, 20% DIA, 20% XOM/SLB.

    TURNING POINT DAY

    Our turn window for this week is 1/20, the Tuesday after a monthly option expiration.