All Star Market Timing

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX and NDX gave us a Negative Volume Reversal Day on Friday and that could give us some stock market consolidation into Monday/Tuesday. However, we see a possibility of a new run to a new SPX ATH above 6920 by the 12/19-12/22 New Moon Timing Window. The Fed announcement of both a $40B QE to dampen volatility in the repo market as well as a 25 bps rate cut in the Fed rate is bullish for the stock market going into 2026, however, stock selection will be key going into 2026 and we will continue to favor commodity stocks and DJIA stocks. Our Option Premium Ratio has given us a series of bullish “island reversal’ patterns that argues for a new ATH by the second half of December. Silver gave us an ATH at $65.08 early Friday before a correction set in – silver had a 34-wk step out from the 4/7 low last week and looks 5-waves up on the weekly chart – we could see some consolidation for a few days this week. The January fractal patterns for the SPX and silver argue for more rally into yearend, but the Mars ingress early Monday could give us some consolidation in the PM sector going into the 12/19 New Moon. Our current investment positions were last updated on the 11/28 close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on 12/10 to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn windows for this week are 12/15-12/16 and the 12/19-12/22 NEW Moon.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX continues to consolidate into the Fed minutes on Wednesday. A G3 solar storm is striking the Earth which can lead to SPX weakness. Our bias, however, is bullish for a year-end rally and we are inclined to buy the SPX if the Fed gives a 25 bps rate cut and the stock market sells off. Our Option Premium Ratio has given us a series of bullish “island reversal’ patterns that argues for a new ATH in December. The SPX is giving us just a 3-wave SPX pullback into Fed Wednesday and this is a bullish setup for the stock market. Stan Harley’s superb cycle work for the SPX argued for a correction low on the last week in November, but it came in early on 11/20 at the NYSE market breadth low. Silver gave us another ATH overnight Tuesday at $62 and looks higher after the Fed. Our current investment positions were last updated on the 11/28 close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Tuesday to include: 50% cash, 25% SLV, 0% SILJ, and 25% XOM.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 12/10 – Fed Wednesday.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX gave us 5-waves up on the hourly chart from the 11/20 low on Friday and started a correction that could last to Fed Wednesday this week. Our Option Premium Ratio has given us a series of bullish “island reversal’ patterns that argues for a new ATH in December but “bullish divergence” on the VIX is keeping us cautious for now. Just a 3-wave SPX pullback into Fed Wednesday may give us a bullish setup for the stock market. Stan Harley’s superb cycle work for the SPX argued for a correction low on the last week in November, but it appears to have come in early on 11/20 at the NYSE market breadth low. Silver gave us an ATH at $59.9 on Friday and gold made a B-Wave top at $4192 before correcting into Sunday night. Just a 3-wave pullback into Fed Wednesday would be bullish for gold and silver. Our current investment positions were last updated on the 11/28 close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Friday to include: 75% cash, 25% SLV, 0% SILJ, and 0% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 12/10 – Fed Wednesday.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX pulled back on Monday and then has bullishly consolidated into the 12/4-12/5 Full Moon Timing Window. Our Option Premium Ratio has given us a series of bullish “island reversal’ patterns that argues for a new ATH in the SPX by Friday/Monday. The SPX is giving us just a 3-wave pullback from its 10/29 ATH into the 34-day Fibonacci step out window and Full Moon this week. The 3-star critical reversal day on 11/28 for the SPX and gold came in as a HIGH. Stan Harley’s superb cycle work for the SPX argued for a correction low on the last week in November, but it appears to have come in early on 11/20 at the NYSE market breadth low. Gold and silver also rallied into the 11/28-12/1 turn window turn after Comex option expiration last week and are pulling back in 3-waves into the 12/4-12/5 Full moon Timing Window. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Monday to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is the 12/4-12/5 – the Full Moon Timing Window.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX, NDX and IWM opened December trading with a “Negative Volume Reversal Day” on Monday. The SPX made a low-volume test of an “overhead supply zone” on Friday and found resistance and is now consolidating into the 12/3-12/5 Full Moon Timing Window. The SPX is giving us just a 3-wave pullback from its 10/29 ATH into the 34-day Fibonacci step out window and Full Moon. The 3-star critical reversal day on 11/28 for the SPX and gold came in as a HIGH. Stan Harley’s superb cycle work for the SPX argued for a correction low on the last week in November, but it appears to have come in on 11/20. After a small correction here for the SPX, we are looking for higher prices for the SPX into Friday and a new ATH. Gold and silver also rallied into the 11/28-12/1 turn window turn after Comex option expiration last week and look stronger than the stocks here. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Monday to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 12/1-12/2 – the 34-day Fibonacci step out from the 10/29 SPX ATH.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX, NDX and IWM opened December trading with a “Negative Volume Reversal Day” on Monday. The SPX made a low-volume test of an “overhead supply zone” on Friday and found resistance and could now see more decline down into the 12/3-12/5 Full Moon Timing Window. The SPX is also pulling back into the 12/2 turn window defined by the 34-day Fibonacci step out from the 10/29 SPX ATH at 6920. The 3-star critical reversal day on 11/28 for the SPX and gold appears to have come in as a HIGH. Stan Harley’s superb cycle work for the SPX argued for a correction low on the last week in November, but it appears to have come in on 11/20. The 34-day SPX Fibonacci step out on both the SPX daily and weekly charts lands on 12/2 and that could be an important turn day for the stock market. After a small correction here for the SPX and the PM sector, we are looking for higher prices for the SPX and gold into year end. Gold and silver also rallied into the 11/28-12/1 turn window turn after Comex option expiration last week and look stronger than the stocks here. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 20% cash, 5% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Monday to include: 25% cash, 25% SLV, 25% SILJ, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 12/1-12/2 – the 34-day Fibonacci step out from the 10/29 SPX ATH.

Folks,

Market Observations for the Week: The SPX rallied on Monday and is holding up into the 11/25-11/26 turn window. We are taking profits in short-term trading positions in the PM sector. We are expecting big volatility into next week and raising more cash. We are monitoring a potential mini-crash pattern going into December for the SPX. The 34-day SPX Fibonacci step out on both the daily and weekly charts lands on 12/2 and that could be an important low after the 21-day SPX Fibonacci step out came in as a high on Wednesday’s close. We still view this stock market as in a bull market correction which could undercut 6500 by the first week of December. We are expecting a market turn by 11/25-11/26, the Tuesday after a monthly option expiration. We should also note that there is “positive seasonality” for the Friday after the Thursday Thanksgiving holiday in the US amidst our short-term bearish view. Our fractal models and cycle analysis pointed to a chance of severe volatility going into the last week of November and we are seeing it. Gold and silver are rallying into the 11/25-11/26 turn window (the Moon ingress into Aquarius) and also the Comex option expiration. Our current investment positions were updated on Friday’s close: 25% cash, 0% QQQ, 20% GDXJ/SILJ/XLE, 10% XOM/CVX/SLB and 20% physical gold/silver/platinum. We have a 25% overall allocation to our short-term trading account which was last updated on Monday to include: 75% cash, 0% SLV, 0% GLD, and 25% Barrick.

TURNING POINT DAY

Our turn window for this week is 11/25-11/26.